Can AI Pricing Go Rogue? Can Pricing Software Be Too Smart?
In the high-stakes world of pricing, where a 1% improvement can translate up to an 11% profit boost, artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as the new sheriff in town. But as AI pricing grows ever more sophisticated, a pressing question looms: Can these digital deputies and the way they are applied in pricing software become too clever for their own good?
At Pricefx, as the world’s leading cloud-native pricing software provider, we are honored to sit at the forefront of the pricing industry. We take considerable pride in our development of emerging technologies to help solve top-line business problems and boost profits and growth for our clients, and excitedly view the Generative AI (GenAI) revolution as a natural evolution of our investment in pricing AI.
Let's dive into this delicious dilemma and explore how the frontier of AI-powered pricing, where the line between brilliant innovation and rogue algorithms blurs faster than you can say "dynamic pricing".
The Rise of the Machines: How AI Revolutionized Pricing
Once upon a time (for sake of argument, let's call it the late 20th century), pricing was more art than science. Businesses relied on gut feelings, competitor analysis, and the occasional spreadsheet to set their prices. Enter artificial intelligence, stage left, ready to turn this intuition-driven process on its head.
Fast forward a decade or so, and AI pricing software burst onto the scene with promises of data-crunching prowess that would make even the most seasoned pricing analyst's head spin. These digital dynamos could process vast amounts of information – from historical sales data to real-time market conditions – and spit out optimized prices faster than you could say "profit margin."
The benefits were immediately apparent:
- AI Price Optimization: By using advanced algorithms and data-driven insights, AI could generate optimal prices for every product, customer, and channel, maximizing profitability and customer satisfaction.
- Dynamic Pricing: AI allowed prices to adjust in real-time based on demand, supply, competitor actions, and other factors. Suddenly, airlines could maximize revenue on every seat, and e-commerce giants could ensure they always had the most competitive prices.
- Personalization: AI could analyze individual customer behavior and willingness to pay, enabling businesses to offer tailored pricing to different segments or even individual customers.
- Predictive Analytics: By identifying patterns and trends, AI could forecast future demand and pricing opportunities, allowing businesses to stay ahead of the curve.
- Automated Decision-Making: With AI handling the heavy lifting, pricing teams could focus on strategy rather than getting bogged down in day-to-day pricing decisions.
As businesses embraced these AI-powered pricing tools, profits soared, and efficiency skyrocketed. It seemed like a match made in capitalist heaven. Check out my article below to learn more about the practical uses of AI and machine learning in pricing software:
But as the old saying goes, "With great power comes great responsibility" – and around the time that GenAI began to poke its head into the pricing software space, some began to wonder if AI pricing was becoming too smart for its own good.
While the fear mongering about GenAI taking over the pricing world are largely built upon unfounded myths and to be frank , a little panicking (please see the thoughtful article of my colleague Guillaume Dupont, “Generative AI in Pricing: Its Strengths & Weaknesses” where he explains in detail precisely what GenAI can and cannot do), there are more genuine concerns about the applications of AI in pricing.
When Smart Becomes Too Smart: The Perils of Overzealous AI
Picture this: You're strolling through your favorite online marketplace, eyeing that shiny new gadget you have been coveting. You check the price – not bad! But wait, you decide to sleep on it. The next morning, fueled by coffee and consumer desire, you return to make your purchase... only to find the price has mysteriously increased overnight. What kind of sorcery is this?
Welcome to the world of AI-powered dynamic pricing, where algorithms work tirelessly to maximize profits – (particularly in the consumer retail sector but less so in B2B) sometimes at the expense of customer trust and satisfaction. This scenario illustrates just one of the ways AI pricing can go rogue if left unchecked. Let's explore some more of the pitfalls of overly aggressive AI pricing:
1. The Transparency Trap: AI pricing algorithms can become so complex that even their creators struggle to explain how they arrive at certain decisions. This "black box" nature can lead to pricing that seems arbitrary or unfair to customers, eroding trust and potentially running afoul of regulatory requirements.
Example: In 2011, CNN reported on a case where Amazon's dynamic pricing algorithm led to a $23,698,655.93 price tag for a textbook on fly behavior. While likely an error, it highlighted the potential for AI to generate wildly inappropriate prices without human oversight.
2. The Ethical Quandary: As AI becomes more adept at identifying and exploiting consumer behavior, it raises ethical questions about the line between smart business and exploitation.
Example: Some airlines have been accused of using AI to identify customers searching for flights to attend funerals or other urgent events, and then raising prices accordingly. While potentially profitable, such practices can be seen as predatory and damaging to brand reputation.
3. The Collusion Conundrum: In theory, competing AIs could learn to coordinate their pricing strategies, leading to de facto price-fixing – all without any human intervention or explicit agreement.
Example: In 2016, a study by Emilio Calvano et al. demonstrated that AI pricing algorithms could learn to collude in a simulated marketplace, raising prices above competitive levels without any explicit programming to do so.
4. The Feedback Loop Fiasco: AI systems that adjust prices based on demand could potentially create self-reinforcing cycles, leading to price instability or market distortions.
Example: During the 2017 hurricane season in North America,some retailers and B2B building suppliers using AI pricing saw massive price spikes for essential goods like bottled water and lumber and other building materials, as algorithms responded to sudden demand increases without considering the ethical implications of price gouging during a natural disaster.
5. The Personalization Paradox: While personalized pricing can lead to more efficient markets, it also raises concerns about fairness and discrimination.
Example: In 2012, the Wall Street Journal reported that Staples.com was showing different prices to different customers based on their estimated location, potentially discriminating against lower-income areas.
These examples illustrate that while AI pricing can be incredibly powerful, it is not infallible. Without proper oversight and ethical guidelines, these digital pricing prodigies can indeed become too smart for their own good – and for the good of the businesses they are meant to serve.
Keeping AI in Check: Strategies for Responsible Pricing Innovation
While most of the examples I’ve quoted above are from the B2C environment, with B2B now beginning to resemble B2C more with each passing month in terms of its omnichannel sales nature, B2B organizations also need to keep their AI in check. So, how can businesses harness the power of AI pricing without letting it run amok? Here are some strategies to keep your digital pricing deputies on the straight and narrow:
Partnering with a Reputable AI Pricing Software Vendor
One of most important steps is to partner with a reliable AI pricing vendor that can provide the necessary expertise, support, and ethical guidance for the AI pricing system. A trustworthy partner can help B2B organizations design, implement, and monitor their AI pricing strategies, ensuring that they are aligned with their business objectives, customer expectations, and social responsibilities.
A reputable AI pricing vendor can offer AI pricing solutions that are:
- Customer-centric: The AI pricing solutions are tailored to each customer's specific needs and goals, considering their industry, market, and competitive dynamics. The vendor also provides ongoing customer support and feedback, ensuring that the AI pricing system is always aligned with customer satisfaction and loyalty.
- Value-driven: The AI pricing solutions are designed to deliver measurable and sustainable value for customers, not just short-term gains. The vendor helps customers optimize their prices across the entire value chain, from product development to sales and service, maximizing their profitability, revenue, and market share.
- Ethical: The AI pricing solutions are built on ethical principles, ensuring that they are fair, transparent, and responsible. The vendor adheres to the highest standards of data privacy and security and provides customers with full visibility and control over their AI pricing decisions. The vendor also helps customers avoid potential pitfalls of AI pricing, such as collusion, price instability, discrimination, or backlash, by implementing ethical guardrails, audits, and tests.
By partnering with a reliable AI pricing vendor like Pricefx and its award-winning AI-informed pricing software platform, B2B organizations can leverage the power of AI pricing without compromising their values, their customers, or their reputation.
Maintain Human Oversight
While AI can process data at superhuman speeds, it (currently) lacks the nuanced understanding of context, ethics, and long-term consequences that humans possess. Implementing a "human-in-the-loop" approach ensures that AI recommendations are vetted by experienced pricing professionals before implementation.
Pro Tip: Establish clear thresholds for when human review is required, such as price changes above a certain percentage or pricing decisions for sensitive products or markets.
Prioritize Transparency
Make your pricing policies clear to customers and be prepared to explain (in general terms) how your prices are determined. This transparency can help build trust and mitigate potential backlash from AI-driven pricing decisions.
Example: Some large wholesale distributorsof roofing supplies, siding, windows, and other exterior and interior building products now explicitly inform customers that their prices may change based on demand, helping to set expectations and reduce frustration with dynamic pricing.
Implement Ethical Guardrails
Develop clear ethical guidelines for your AI pricing systems and ensure these are baked into the algorithms themselves. This might include rules against exploiting vulnerable customers, limits on price increases during emergencies, or safeguards against unintended discrimination.
Case Study: After facing criticism for surge pricing during emergencies, ride-sharing company Uber implemented caps on price increases during disasters and began donating profits from such periods to charity.
Regular Audits and Testing
Continuously monitor your AI pricing system's performance, not just in terms of profitability but also for unintended consequences or ethical concerns. Conduct regular "stress tests" to see how the system behaves in unusual circumstances.
Best Practice: Create a diverse "red team" of employees from different departments (pricing, ethics, customer service, legal) to periodically review and challenge the AI system's decisions.
Educate Your Pricing Team
Ensure that your pricing team and other relevant stakeholders understand both the capabilities and limitations of your AI pricing system. This knowledge will help them work more effectively with the AI and spot potential issues before they become problems.
Training Tip: Develop interactive workshops that simulate various pricing scenarios, allowing team members to see firsthand how the AI-informed pricing system makes decisions and where human judgment might be needed.
Balance Short-term Gains with Long-term Value
While AI can be incredibly effective at optimizing for short-term metrics like revenue or profit, make sure your system also considers long-term factors like customer loyalty, brand perception, and market share.
Strategic Approach: Incorporate customer lifetime value calculations into your AI pricing models to encourage decisions that build lasting relationships, not just immediate gains.
Stay Informed on Regulatory Developments
As AI pricing becomes more prevalent, it is likely that new regulations will emerge to govern its use. Stay ahead of the curve by actively monitoring legal developments and adjusting your practices accordingly.
Proactive Step: Join industry associations or working groups focused on AI ethics and pricing to stay informed and contribute to the development of best practices.
The Future of AI Pricing: Smarter, Not Harder
AI pricing is transforming the way B2B organizations set and execute their pricing strategies. It enables them to leverage massive amounts of data, optimize prices in real time, and create personalized offers for different segments and customers. But AI pricing is not a magic bullet. It requires careful oversight and ethical guidance to ensure that it serves the best interests of the business, its customers, and society at large.
The power of AI in pricing is undeniable. It can help B2B organizations achieve higher profitability, better customer satisfaction, and greater competitive advantage. But with great power comes great responsibility (yes, we are quoting Spider-Man again, but it's just so applicable!).
The key to successful AI pricing lies not in creating an all-knowing, all-powerful algorithm, but in striking the right balance between artificial intelligence and human wisdom. It's about harnessing AI's analytical capabilities while tempering it with human judgment, ethical considerations, and a dash of good old-fashioned common sense. Check out this great article below from my colleague Iain Lewis on human knowledge and pricing AI working together for best results:
As B2B organizations navigate this brave new world of AI pricing, they would do well to remember that the ultimate goal isn't just to maximize profits, but to create value – for the company, for customers, and for society as a whole.
By embracing responsible AI practices, they can achieve both.
Happy Pricing!
Sylvain Rougemaille
Senior Product Manager , Pricefx
Sylvain Rougemaille PhD is Senior Product Manager at Pricefx based in France. He has 15 years of experience in the IT industry and AI. He obtained his PhD on Software Engineering applied to AI in 2008. Since then, he has participated the creation of two startups aiming at the diffusion of AI to solve complex industrial problems as aircraft optimization, genomic simulation, and ultimately price optimization. In 2015 he co-founded Brennus Analytics where he occupied the position of Chief Product Officer. The purpose of it was to bring the PO&M software market unrivalled optimization capabilities thanks to Multi-Agents’ AI. Since 2020 and its acquisition by Pricefx he is pushing pricing science even further as the Price Optimization and Science Manager.